Mandatory Credit: James Lang-Imagn Images
The Jacksonville Jaguars should be overlooked, Nevermore.
Isn’t that how that poem goes?!
Thursday night in Baltimore may have been the most forgettable Thursday Night Football game in over a decade, but the Jaguars’ sustained dominance shouldn’t be flying as far under the radar as it seems to be, at least for me.
Jacksonville is simply mowing through opponents week after week, boasting the league’s best point differential at +108, which is 50 points higher than the 49ers’, who are second.
In a November Monsoon, steps away from the house where Edgar Allan Poe penned his legendary poem about grieving loss, Liam Coen’s Jaguars may have etched the Ravens’ epitaph by throttling Joe Fagnano and Baltimore 33-10, improving to 6-2 on the season.
Jacksonville’s defense stonewalled Derrick Henry, holding him to just 57 yards despite Baltimore offensive coordinator Declan Doyle giving him 17 carries, with several coming from the wildcat and Fagnano left standing around as some sort of decoy.
Meanwhile, Trevor Lawrence carved up the Ravens, passing for 242 yards, one touchdown and a 105.7 passer rating.
Now boasting a league-high 3.5-point lead in an AFC South race that is already effectively over, the Jaguars continue to embody the components that define legitimate Super Bowl contenders throughout the NFL’s modern era.
The Jaguars boast a league-best plus-nine turnover differential; they’re holding opponents to just 89.1 rushing yards per game, which is the fifth-fewest in the league, and their 15.1 points allowed per game is second only to Brian Flores’ Minnesota Vikings.
Unlike the Vikings, though, the Jags’ defense is backed by an explosive offense, with Lawrence ranked eighth in the league in passing, but only Joe Burrow and Kirk Cousins have tossed more touchdowns than his 18.
Through the first half of the season, the Jaguars have been the ultimate complementary football machine, and the road to homefield advantage throughout the AFC playoffs is about to get easier than ever, because Jacksonville has the easiest remaining schedule with opponents boasting a meager .406 winning percentage.
The Jaguars are dangerous; they’re rolling along, and while the Ravens offered little resistance, this looks like a young team that’s picking up more confidence with each passing week.
This is no longer just a hot start.
It’s an AFC juggernaut rounding into midseason form.
Inside this week’s mailbag, we tackle your questions on how the Buccaneers should handle their quarterback situation, whether three tight end sets have actually arrived (the answer may shock you), and an NFL executive weighs in on Kirk Cousins’ Raiders future.
Let’s get after it …
TABLE OF CONTENTS
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What should the Buccaneers do with Jalon Daniels? He obviously played well, but they just signed Baker Mayfield to an extension this summer. (JacecJohnston on Threads)
Daniels was fine.
In a lot of ways, he exceeded expectations in his three starts this season.
The high-water mark, of course, was the undrafted rookie free agent out of Kansas going into Arlington and knocking off the Dallas Cowboys to yank Todd Bowles off the hot seat.
However, it’s hard to legitimately suggest that the Buccaneers have any sort of quarterback controversy on their hands.
Sure, Tampa might have some buyer’s remorse after committing $120 million guaranteed to Baker Mayfield this summer, but Daniels hasn’t quite shown enough to play his way into any conversation about wedging his way into the quarterback of the future role.
Daniels completed 61.2 percent of his passes for 501 yards with three touchdowns to five interceptions, while adding 22 rushing attempts for 123 rushing yards in five appearances, including three starts.
If this season has shown us anything, though, it is the value of having a competent backup quarterback that you are confident in turning to at a moment’s notice to run your offense without it skipping a beat.
Sam Darnold missing multiple games, Kyler Murray’s general ineffectiveness, Deshaun Watson’s concussion, Jalen Hurts’ season ending after discovering blood clots are just scratching the surface of how losing a starting quarterback can throw a promising season into chaos.
For the Buccaneers, having Daniels and the element his mobility brings to a game available at a moment’s notice is worth keeping him around on the roster in the years ahead.
But, Tampa should probably try to draft a quarterback in the early rounds next spring, as well, to bolster the depth at the most important position in sports, and as a contingency on this being the beginning of a Mayfield regression rather than him simply going through growing pains in Zac Robinson’s system in his first glimpse of life without Mike Evans.
Many have predicted a shift to more 3-tight end sets on offense in the league. Has that trend materialized? If not, why hasn't it happened as expected? And will TEs be more highly valued in the draft, like last year? (darryn1234 on Threads)
As it turns out, the revolution was, in fact, televised.
In a league where every head coach and coordinator seems to race not just to copy the newest rage, but to add their fingerprints onto it, the NFL has seen Sean McVay and the Rams’ success running 13-personnel (three tight end sets), and are trying to copy and build on it through the first half of this season.
According to the data at Sharp Football Analysis, teams are running 13-personnel on a league average of 9% of offensive snaps so far this season. That total is up from 5% in 2025.
That’s nearly double.
Now, we should qualify this, by pointing out that McVay and the Rams are leaning even more into 13 personnel this season, deploying it on 34% of snaps, a slight uptick from their 32% of plays last season.
However, there have been 11 teams — the Rams, Arizona Cardinals, Buffalo Bills, Chicago Bears, Baltimore Ravens, Atlanta Falcons, Jacksonville Jaguars, Carolina Panthers, Green Bay Packers, Washington Commanders, and New York Jets — that are currently running 13 personnel on double-digit percentages of their offensive snaps.
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